If you change a four-lane highway into a six-lane highway and back again, by how much do you increase its capacity?
Chris McManus: Reckoning the Odds, 17 October 2002
Reckoning with Risk: Learning to Live with Uncertainty
by Gerd Gigerenzer.
Allen Lane, 310 pp., £14.99, July 2002,0 7139 9512 2 Show More
by Gerd Gigerenzer.
Allen Lane, 310 pp., £14.99, July 2002,
“... is the concept of probability, a mathematical tool which is remarkable not least because, as Ian Hacking has shown, it was developed remarkably late in the history of Western thought. There is no hint of probabilistic reasoning in classical Greek thought, and even in the 16th century the Italian mathematician Girolamo Cardano could claim that when a dice ... ”