« | Home | »

Climate Change, Continued

Tags:

The new issue of Nature Climate Change delivers a massive, multiple slap-down to the notion that the much touted ‘hiatus’ or ‘pause’ in global warming since the late 1990s means that the climate isn’t changing, or the globe warming.

The Telegraph ran a piece in 2006 with the headline: ‘There IS a problem with global warming… it stopped in 1998.’ In 2012, the Mail announced that ‘global warming stopped 16 years ago.’ But media coverage of the hiatus ‘really picked up steam in 2013’, Maxwell Boykoff writes. At the same time, ‘recent polling has found that the proportion of US citizens who believe that climate change is not happening has increased by seven percentage points since April 2013.’

All the hiatus actually means, as Lisa Goddard puts it, is ‘that globally averaged air temperatures have not increased as quickly in the past decade as they have in previous decades’.

And Sonia Seneviratne and colleagues argue that ‘the term pause, as applied to the recent evolution of global annual mean temperatures, is ill-chosen and even misleading in the context of climate change.’ Averages are one thing, extremes another, and ‘analyses based on observational data reveal no pause in the evolution of hot extremes over land since 1997’:

not only is there no pause in the evolution of the warmest daily extremes over land but… they have continued unabated over the observational record. Furthermore, the available evidence suggests that the most ‘extreme’ extremes show the greatest change. This is particularly relevant for climate change impacts, as changes in the warmest temperature extremes over land are of the most relevance to human health, agriculture, ecosystems and infrastructure.

Comments are closed.


  • Recent Posts

    RSS – posts

  • Contributors

  • Recent Comments

    • semitone on ‘I promise that I will do my best’: I read this post, after a long absence from reading the lrb blog, in my car while my two sons (eight and ten) played strenuous, interesting, complicat...
    • Eli Zaretsky on The Mass Psychology of Trumpism: The Freudian concept of identification is helpful here. Identification is unconscious and is something quite different from imitation. "Willed ignoran...
    • Jeremy Harding on Who killed Maurice Audin?: Who killed Mehdi Ben Barka in 1965? Good question. One of the best answers came from Stephen Smith, in Le Monde in 2001. Smith is an LRB contributor. ...
    • Eli Zaretsky on The Mass Psychology of Trumpism: yes, excellent point, however, there are different ways to constitute a "volk." Trump's followers constitute a volk, and its basis is not the US "volk...
    • heinz suenker on The Mass Psychology of Trumpism: thanks for the idea to bring adorno in - showing his contemporary relevance. I think what has to be added is his idea about the 'volksgemeinschaft' - ...

    RSS – comments

  • Contact

  • Blog Archive

Advertisement
Advertisement